
This issue's stocks picks:
| Short Positions | ||||||||||||
| S/N | Stock | Date Start | Short Sell | Stop | Last | Buy | Date End | Cycle Phase | Risk Level | Status | ||
| 1 | OCBC | 8-Jan-2009 | 5.300 | 5.500 | 5.300 | - | - | Consolidations | High | Active | ||
| 2 | Parkway Holdings | 8-Jan-2009 | 1.340 | 1.450 | 1.340 | - | - | Initial Downtrend | High | Active | ||
| 3 | Sembcorp Industries | 8-Jan-2009 | 2.580 | 2.720 | 2.580 | - | - | Initial Downtrend | High | Active | ||
| 4 | Sino-Environment | 8-Jan-2009 | 0.680 | 0.725 | 0.680 | - | - | Initial Downtrend | High | Active | ||
| 5 | UOB | 8-Jan-2009 | 13.360 | 13.980 | 13.360 | - | - | Initial Downtrend | High | Active | ||
| 6 | Wilmar | 8-Jan-2009 | 3.110 | 3.360 | 3.110 | - | - | Initial Downtrend | High | Active | ||
| Note: 6 new counters added for shorting. | ||||||||||||
| Comments on Straits Times Index ( STI ) | ||||||||||||
| STI has moved into the Initial Downtrend / Consolidations Phase. | ||||||||||||
| Risk Level is High. | ||||||||||||
| Long Term Strategy | ||||||||||||
| A review of the stocks prices for the past year shows that most of the stocks have fallen to very low price levels. | ||||||||||||
| However, this does not mean that we can buy them for long term now, considering the depressed underlying conditions anticipated this year that might last for sometime. | ||||||||||||
| I would expect the stocks to move nowhere or sideways in this year 2009. | ||||||||||||
| In fact, this condition equally applies to and has had already affected our shorting strategy short term wise. | ||||||||||||
| This is because prices are now at a level where there is really not that much potential left for it to drop further (for shorting). | ||||||||||||
| The list of tradable counters is also getting much smaller and limited to only a handful now. | ||||||||||||
| Risk has thus become much higher than before. | ||||||||||||
| Therefore, unless the market picks up this year, a possible good strategy for this year would be really to do nothing (and a possible suspension of this eNewsletter). | ||||||||||||
| We will monitor the situation further and will come to a conclusion soon. | ||||||||||||